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Property prices stabilizing after another boom, with rents still going up, especially on apartments

lolita, 24/03/2025

The property market appears to be stabilizing in key regions after the latest boom, according to the latest monthly figures, with analysts forecasting that prices will not keep rising as quickly next year.

Key points:

  • Melbourne and Hobart home prices dropped 0.1 per cent in November
  • Perth (+1.9 per cent), Brisbane (+1.3 per cent) and Adelaide (+1.2 per cent) had the biggest monthly city increases
  • Homes at the lower to mid-range price points are now performing better than the top end

The median national property price is now at a record high of $753,654, according to CoreLogic, although it is much higher in Sydney at more than $1.2 million.

Key markets Sydney and Melbourne were fairly flat over the past month, but prices were still rising strongly in Brisbane, Adelaide and Perth.

“They’re continuing to see housing values ​​rocketing along,” CoreLogic’s chief economist Tim Lawless says.

“Below the surface there’s a lot of diversity here.”

A table of numbers and cities

CoreLogic’s figures for November show a patchwork of results across the country.(Supplied: CoreLogic)

Interest rates have been rising since May last year, with some economists tipping another rate rise in February.

Mr Lawless says property value growth is slowing as buyers at the top end of town ease up on paying eye-watering prices.

“We’ve seen a real reduction in borrowing capacity. And we’ve also seen serviceability constraints becoming more pressing,” he explains.

“Demand is now being deflected away from those higher price points towards the middle to lower end of the marketplace.”

This includes units and apartments, with prices on these still rising strongly in most markets.

In every capital city except Darwin the median price for an apartment is now more than $450,000. In Sydney, it is much higher at $836,000.

“We’re moving into this burgeoning under-supply across the medium to high density sector of Australia’s housing markets, and that probably will support prices across the unit sector to some extent,” Mr Lawless said.

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Thirty per cent of income now going to rents

Asking rents, which is the price a place is advertised for lease, have now been rising at a national level for 40 months straight, and the biggest gains in most markets over the past year have been for apartments or units.

November marks the first time in six months where CoreLogic’s figures show rents have risen at a faster rate than home values.

A table of numbers and cities

CoreLogic’s figures for November show rents are still rising. (Supplied: CoreLogic)

Vacancy rates are still around record lows at just 1 per cent nationally.

“Rental markets are still as tight as a drum,” Mr Lawless notes.

However, he believes demand is easing off, simply because households can’t pay anymore.

“Which means we’ll start to see a forced restructuring of rental demand,” he says.

“Rental households becoming larger. Group households reforming. Multi-generational households becoming more common.

“Probably renters are looking for more affordable housing options like units over houses, or looking further afield from where they work or where they socialize.”

Apartment rents now so high you may as well buy

First home buyers are getting back into the market, the latest lending figures indicate, with Mr Lawless of the belief that some “are looking at any way out of the rental market”.

A large proportion of renters in many major capital cities would now be financially better off buying the apartment or unit that they live in, according to fresh data this week from rival housing data firm PropTrack.

This trend was literally on display at an apartment viewing in Melbourne this week.

a man in a suit talking to a person in a small kitchen

Jellis Craig agent Matthew Coombes chats to a buyer in an apartment in Richmond that is asking $500,000 to $530,000.(ABC News: Emilia Terzon)

With an advertised range of $500,000 to $530,000, a first home buyer purchasing it with a 20 per cent deposit and an interest rate of 6.24 per cent on a 30-year term would be repaying it at just under $600 a week.

The apartment would likely rent out at $630 per week, according to estimates provided by its selling real estate agent.

One first home buyer viewing the apartment told ABC News they had been doing exactly these kinds of numbers.

“I’m renting but with the rents going up like this, it would be smarter to get my own place,” they said.

“You’ll be on par and at least you’re not paying somebody else’s mortgage. You’re paying your own.”

The apartment’s agent Matthew Coombs says he is seeing rising demand for apartments in the typical first home buyer range of $300,000 to $600,000.

He says in the inner-Melbourne suburb of Richmond, where the two bedroom apartment is for sale, rental listings are being snapped up in record time.

“We are literally getting the tenant vacating, and then in less than a day, it’s having a new tenant sign on,” he says.

“There was a rental inspection (in this same building) on ​​Saturday, which had over 50 groups waiting out the front.”

Saving for a deposit can take almost a decade, new data shows

CoreLogic’s Lawless team agrees with PropTrack’s data that it would be cheaper to buy than lease in many apartment markets, however, he points out that people can only escape the rental market if they can save a deposit.

CoreLogic's Lawless Team behind a computer.

CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless says saving for a deposit and the costs associated with buying a house are major hurdles for renters.

“The big challenge for renters moving into home-ownership is going to be both saving for a deposit and also funding transactional costs,” he observes.

“That tends to be the two biggest hurdles in getting more buyers into home-ownership.”

After the latest property boom and still-rising interest rates, Australians are now having to work at least two years longer to save up a deposit than they did in 2020, according to new analysis by PEXA.

The data insights business found it is now taking people in NSW eight years, while in Victoria and Queensland it is now five years.

“This has made the generational wealth gap more apparent, with younger demographics facing growing challenges to enter the property market,” PEXA’s head of research, Mike Gill, says.

CoreLogic’s Tim Lawless believes property prices will continue stabilizing in 2024, although that depends on factors such as whether the Reserve Bank of Australia continues to hike rates to tackle inflation.

“The market is going to be different to what it was in 2023. We shouldn’t expect to see the same rates of value growth,” he says.

“Most importantly, affordability is becoming much more challenging across all markets, not just the really expensive markets like Sydney and Melbourne.”

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